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PSM · Biostatistics
Sample itemWhat does a p value represent under a null hypothesis?
Original practice item, not a recalled exam question. Nothing here is recorded.
The answer and the reasoning
A. Probability of data at least as extreme as observed
A p value quantifies how compatible observed data are with the null hypothesis, not the probability that the null itself is true.
Option by option
A. Probability of data at least as extreme as observed (correct)
Correct: it is a conditional probability under null.
B. Probability study is unbiased
Bias is a design issue.
C. Probability that null hypothesis is true
It does not give null truth probability.
D. Size of clinical benefit
Clinical importance requires effect size and context.
Source note: Original NextPrep sample item — pending expert review. This item is original practice material awaiting independent expert review, so confirm important facts in a standard textbook.
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