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PSM · Biostatistics: confidence interval for a mean
Sample itemIn a survey of 100 adults the mean systolic blood pressure is 130 mmHg with a standard deviation of 20 mmHg. Which is the approximate 95% confidence interval for the population mean?
Original practice item, not a recalled exam question. Nothing here is recorded.
The answer and the reasoning
B. 126.1 to 133.9 mmHg
The standard error is SD divided by the square root of n, which is 20/10 = 2. The 95% confidence interval is mean plus or minus 1.96 times the standard error, 130 plus or minus 3.92, giving 126.1 to 133.9. It describes the precision of the estimated mean, not the spread of individual values.
Option by option
A. 128.0 to 132.0 mmHg
This is the mean plus or minus one standard error, which is only a 68% interval.
B. 126.1 to 133.9 mmHg (correct)
Correct. 130 plus or minus 1.96 x 2 gives 126.1 to 133.9.
C. 129.6 to 130.4 mmHg
This wrongly divides the SD by n (20/100 = 0.2) rather than by the square root of n.
D. 90.8 to 169.2 mmHg
This uses the standard deviation instead of the standard error and describes where individual values lie.
Source note: Original NextPrep sample item — pending expert review. This item is original practice material awaiting independent expert review, so confirm important facts in a standard textbook.
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