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PSM · Biostatistics: statistical versus clinical significance
Sample itemA trial of 20,000 patients reports that a new drug lowers mean systolic pressure by 0.5 mmHg compared with placebo, with p less than 0.001. How should this finding be interpreted?
Original practice item, not a recalled exam question. Nothing here is recorded.
The answer and the reasoning
D. It is statistically significant but of doubtful clinical importance
With a very large sample, even a trivial difference can reach a small p value. The p value shows that chance is an unlikely explanation but says nothing about the size or importance of the effect. A 0.5 mmHg reduction is unlikely to matter clinically, so effect size and confidence interval should be considered.
Option by option
A. It shows that the drug lacks any biological effect
A significant difference suggests an effect, although a small one.
B. It is clinically important because the p value is very small
A small p value does not measure how large or important the effect is.
C. It is neither statistically nor clinically significant
The difference is statistically significant, as the p value is below the usual threshold.
D. It is statistically significant but of doubtful clinical importance (correct)
Correct. Large samples can make a tiny effect statistically significant without clinical importance.
Source note: Original NextPrep sample item — pending expert review. This item is original practice material awaiting independent expert review, so confirm important facts in a standard textbook.
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